Thinking About Not-Knowing: Fear is the Mindkiller

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This salon by Vaughn Tan (@vaughn_tan) is a deep dive into the complicated emotional backdrop for why we don't think clearly about situations of not-knowing. Untangling why not-knowing feels so bad is the first step to learning how to deal with not-knowing properly. This salon is part of his InterIntellect series and broader project on…

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Thinking About Not-Knowing: Misnaming The Beasts

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This salon is part of his InterIntellect series and broader project on not-knowing. Many situations of not-knowing are called “risk” (even when they aren’t). The cynical view is that this is to make them seem more knowable and manageable than they really are. The emerging kerfuffle around Silicon Valley Bank ("poor risk management!") is just one example of what…

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Thinking about Not-knowing: False advertising

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Join Vaughn Tan in building a better relationship with the not-knowing that surrounds us. We instinctively trust those who claim to tame not-knowing or protect us from it. The people and institutions who manage our money, govern our countries, and build our tools want and need our trust — so they often claim to have good methods for dealing…

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Thinking about Not-knowing: Actions and Results

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Join Vaughn Tan in building a better relationship with the not-knowing that surrounds us. Not-knowing what actions and results are possible simply means admitting the possibility that there are actions to be taken that we don't know about yet, and they might produce outcomes that we haven't yet thought about. This form of not-knowing is the source of new…

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Thinking about Not-knowing #7: Connecting Actions and Results

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Join Vaughn Tan in building a better relationship with the not-knowing that surrounds us. Please note that this salon will run at a different time from previous salons (17h-19h CEST). Making good strategy is hard when you don’t know how particular actions are connected to particular outcomes — in other words, when there is not-knowing about causation. At…

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Thinking about Not-knowing #8: What Results Are Worth

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Join Vaughn Tan in building a better relationship with the not-knowing that surrounds us. This episode focuses on the fourth category of not-knowing, which is about the relative value attached to particular outcomes. Not knowing how much particular outcomes are worth is the most under-explored type of not-knowing, despite being the foundation for expected value theory (which drives so…

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Thinking about Not-Knowing #10 Intent, Causation, and Values

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Join Vaughn Tan in building a better relationship with the not-knowing that surrounds us. In episodes 6-9 of this series, we discussed how not-knowing arises in relation to actions, outcomes, causation, and values, and how future-ness affects not-knowing. Episode 10 is about how the four types of not-knowing reverberate back and forth between each other over time: a change…

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Thinking about Not-knowing #13: Tools for thought and action.

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Join Vaughn Tan in building a better relationship with the not-knowing that surrounds us. Good tools make work easier. What tools do we need to relate well to different types of not-knowing? Episode 13 of this series answers this questions. Some of the tools we’ll discuss include: Superordination during goal-setting. Clearly identifying non-goals. Using forced choices to reveal tradeoffs.…

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